Structural Inflation
In the early 1970s, the world changed dramatically when President Nixon ended the dollar’s convertibility to gold. For the first time in history, governments had the ability to print unlimited amounts of money without the fear of a gold outflow and subsequent inflation. The real effects of this monumental decision are still being seen today, especially when looking at structural inflation. This paper will delve into the definition and major historical events of structural inflation, as well as how it has affected the world economy.
Structural inflation is defined as a level of inflation that remains for an extended period of time. It is attributed to the monetary policy of central banks and governments, as well as the economic structure of an economy. This type of inflation is seen when an economy is in full employment, or near full employment. In this situation, the aggregate supply of goods and services is at maximum output, while demand is unable to grow because the economy is reaching full capacity. In this situation, employers are unable to hire new workers when an additional demand for their product occurs, which is a classic sign of structural inflation.
Perhaps the most famous example of structural inflation takes place during the early 1970s inflationary spiral. President Nixon’s decision to remove the dollar’s convertibility to gold resulted in a massive amount of government printed money entering the economy. This created a situation of overpopulation of the monetary supply, as well as a steady growth in demand. When this occurred, prices increased rapidly, resulting in the highest inflation rates the United States has ever seen. Prices grew 14.8 percentage points per year, the highest rate this country has ever seen.
The decade of the 1970s was not only bad news for structural inflation, but it was also a time of high levels of government debt. Throughout the decade, government debt grew faster than nominal GDP, as government fiscal policy utilized an increase in government spending to stimulate the economy. This increase in spending caused an increase in demand for goods, services, and workers, two of which were not available to meet the new demand. This drove up prices and wages faster than what the supply could keep up with, resulting in structural inflation and the subsequent recession.
Structural inflation has had a significant effect on the global economy. It has caused tremendous pressure on central banks to raise interest rates, resulting in lessened economic and political stability. Additionally, elevated inflation rates tend to drive down investment and savings, making it more difficult for the average person to save and invest. This negatively impacts economic growth and causes economic disparities to become worse.
Finally, structural inflation puts a burden on the average person as wages are not able to keep up with the rising cost of living. This means that in order to maintain a living standard, households must pull on their savings and debt, exacerbating their already fragile financial situations.
Looking towards the future, it is important to understand the history and effects of structural inflation. Governments, central banks, and economists should continue to take preventative and reactionary measures to counteract the effects of this phenomenon. This will help to ensure economic stability and opportunity for all citizens for years to come.