Fiscal Cliff
The fiscal cliff is a combination of actions that Congress can take or not take that, if left unchecked, will lead to dramatic and potentially damaging spending cuts and tax increases for individuals and businesses in the United States. In the simplest of terms, it is the outcome of a failure by Congress to pass certain policy agreements into law, meaning that certain automatic cuts and tax increases will go into effect.
To understand how the fiscal cliff works, it helps to consider how the situation came about. In 2011, Congress was considering how to reduce the federal deficit and debt. With the U.S. national debt at more than $14 trillion, the government needed to consider drastic measures. To tackle this issue, a special congressional committee was created known as the Joint Select Committee on Deficit Reduction, commonly known as the Super Committee.
Their job was to draw up a plan to reduce the debt by $1.2 trillion over 10 years, and the plan needed to be approved by Congress by late 2011. Unfortunately, the Super Committee failed to come up with a plan, and this meant that the measures outlined in the Budget Control Act of 2011 would automatically go into effect. The Budget Control Act slashed spending and imposed a range of tax increases, thus creating the fiscal cliff.
These spending cuts are known as the “sequester”, which would reduce the federal budget by $1.2 trillion over the next decade. This includes cuts to national security, education, infrastructure, and other domestic spending areas. It also includes a tax increase, as the Bush-era tax cuts are set to expire on December 31, 2012. This could lead to an increase in taxes for everyone, including individuals and businesses. Additionally, the alternative minimum tax, which was originally designed to ensure that wealthy earners pay some income tax, is also set to expire.
The fiscal cliff has been described as a ticking time bomb with serious economic and social implications. If allowed to go into effect, the drastic cuts to spending and the tax increases would have a severe impact on the US economy. The IMF has warned that the fiscal cliff could have a severe impact on employment, as the spending cuts will reduce aggregate demand and lead to further job losses. This could severely damage the fragile US economy, which has yet to fully recover from the 2008 financial crisis.
In response to the looming crisis, the Obama administration has proposed a fiscal compromise package to avert the fiscal cliff. This package includes a combination of spending cuts, tax increases, and targeted investments in critical areas that would help to create jobs, reduce the deficit, and protect middle-class taxpayers.
Ultimately, it is up to Congress to decide whether or not they can agree on a compromise package to avoid the fiscal cliff. If they cannot come to an agreement, the US economy could be set on a course for serious economic disruption, which could have long-term consequences.