,有关于心理转换风险。
Psychological Conversion Risk
Psychological conversion risk is a term used to describe how the psychological processes of people can affect the risks they take with their investments. It is a concept that has gained traction in recent years with the emergence of a variety of investing tools and platforms. In essence, it is a way of destabilizing the markets by introducing a psychological element to the decision making process of potential investors. This can lead to increased risk taking or, in some cases, reduce caution when it comes to investing.
The term was first used by Dr. Philippe Jorion, a finance professor at the University of California, Irvine. Jorion argued that the traditional notion of risk management was inadequate in the face of the economic and market conditions of the 21st century. He insisted that such conditions require investors to consider psychological and behavioral risks in order to make smart, informed decisions. Jorion referred to this type of risk as “psychological conversion,” a term he felt better encapsulated the potential danger posed by the mental and emotional aspects of investing.
At its most basic level, psychological conversion applies to the process by which an investor converts their thoughts and beliefs into behaviors. The risk associated with this is that, by doing so, investors may make decisions that are driven by their emotional state rather than logic or analysis. As a result, they may be more likely to invest in ventures that can be risky or ill-advised, as opposed to ones which are properly examined and researched.
Psychological conversion can be further broken down into different components. These include cognitive bias, where the investor is not able to weigh the evidence objectively; overconfidence, where the investor puts more faith in their own judgement than that of professionals or the markets; and confirmation bias, where the investor looks only for ideas that confirm what they already believe to be true and therefore invests too heavily in those perceived “sure bet” investments.
Although psychological conversion is a relatively new concept, it is gaining more and more attention and recognition among investors. It is an important factor to consider when making decisions, as it can help to protect investors’s portfolios from the sort of damaging emotional-driven behavior that can lead to poor results. Investors need to be aware that their emotional state can be just as important a factor in their decision making process as any demonstrated financial or investment information.
The danger of psychological conversion lies in the potential harm it can cause to both an individual’s capital and their reputation as a smart investor. Unchecked and unbalanced emotional states can lead to investors taking unnecessary risks and having undue confidence in their decisions. In the worst cases, this can lead to catastrophic losses, both of capital and reputation.
For this reason, it is important for investors to be aware of the risks associated with psychological conversion and to take steps to mitigate it. This could involve developing a process for evaluating investments more objectively and thoroughly, as well as using risk management strategies such as diversification. Good communication with trusted advisors and an understanding of the markets and its potential risks can also help to reduce psychological conversion and the risks associated with it.