The Quantity Theory of Money (QTM) is an economical model used to explain changes in the general level of prices in the economy. It states that the amount of money circulating in the economy has a direct and proportional correlation with the level of prices. The underlying concept of the QTM is that people’s primary focus when attempting to maximize their well-being is to obtain commodities and services that provide satisfaction or utility in a particular period of time.
Specifically, QTM states that the changes in the general level of prices are proportional to the amount of money circulating in the economy. In other words, an increase in the amount of money in circulation leads to an overall increase in prices. This can be seen through the equation of exchange, which states that the “total amount of money in circulation multiplied by velocity is balanced on the other side by prices multiplied by the quantity of goods traded” (Mankiw, 2018, p. 205). Specifically, the equation states that if the quantity of money increases, for a given level of velocity it must be accompanied by an increase in prices for the same quantity of goods to be in equilibrium.
The relationship between the amount of money in circulation and the general level of prices has been a topic of interest for a number of economists both past and present. The QTM was originally proposed by British philosopher and economist, William Stanley Jevons, in his 1875 book, Money and the Mechanism of Exchange. It is generally thought to be the foundation of Irving Fisher’s equation of exchange, which also became well known.
Though the QTM serves as a useful tool for understanding a variety of economic phenomena, it is not without its detractors. One of the primary criticisms of the theory is that it does not account for velocity - the number of times money changes hands in a given period. Critics claim that the equation of exchange implicitly assumes that velocity remains the same even when money supply changes. This is problematic as it overlooks potential changes in velocity which could impact prices.
Additionally, many economists have argued that the QTM does not account for ‘real’ economic factors such as population growth, overall level of economic production, or the wealth of an economy. These argue that an increase or decrease in money supply cannot be the sole factor determining changes in the general level of prices and that the QTM fails to reflect the complexities of economic processes.
Despite the criticisms of the QTM, it remains a useful tool which is well accepted by many in the economic community. It serves to provide insight into an often difficult to understand phenomenon – how changes in the money supply affect changes in prices. Though it is not without fault, the QTM provides an insight into the relationship between money and prices that can be utilized to better understand the economy and guide economic policy.
Bibliography
Mankiw, N. G. (2018). Principles of Economics. Harlow, England : Pearson.